Are We Seeing A Repeat Of 1929?

Aided by major advances in Information Technology,the GDP’s of the United States and other countries has risen dramatically during the 1990’s and into the current century. Economic and financial advances and declines are of course cyclical yet few experts or analysts in the global market place anticipated the rapid financial meltdowns we have witnessed in recent weeks and months, the steepest decline since 1929.

This unfortunate and however remarkable incident has proved the need of redefining and re-strengthening the current financial chemistry. For instance the biggest bail out package, cuts in CRR up to 150 bps have proved itself insufficient to prevent the steep fall in stock indexes across different global exchanges.

It seems strange that the collapse of several major financial institutions such as Lehman Brothers came as such a surprise. Hindsite shows that there were plenty of danger signals which if heeded may have prevented this major problem. The business model of Lehman Brothers, their lending practices, and their operating practices, if attended to and revised at an earlier time may have saved the company and kept employees and shareholders holding a bag containing precious little.

The question arises here is how long and how many times a country or banks would be able to prevent these debacle? Is our strategy of investment or portfolio being adopted is healthy enough to promise a sustainable growth rate. Surprisingly the recent G7 meeting couldn’t find out feasible solutions.

Major economic powers such as the USA and China have cooperated in trying to bolster their respective economies. It is apparent however that even if some successes are achieved,the real solution lies in cooperation with Europe and the other Asian economies if a true global recovery is to be achieved.

The question arises here is how long and how many times a country or banks would be able to prevent these debacle? Is our strategy of investment or portfolio being adopted is healthy enough to promise a sustainable growth rate. Surprisingly the recent G7 meeting couldn’t find out feasible solutions.

So it is really up to the political leaders of the affected countries to step up and cooperate in finding the means not only to reverse the current situation but to prevent a reoccurrence as well. Until that happens the small investor, and perhaps the large investor as well, needs to be very cautions as to where they are putting their money.

We may feel sometimes that a plunge in the stock market affects only the major stockholders, the “big boys”. It is not always apparent that a decline in the stock market means that companies issuing stock suddenly find themselves with insufficient capital to meet their goals. The results can mean decreased production, lower wages, and lost jobs. Eventually these negatives can and will affect the average citizen. As a part of any recovery package the average citizen needs to be educated as to what the big picture means to him or her.